Archive for Sanders

Double Donkey for Dems

Amid the drama-queen level hand wringing of the Democratic Party, insiders got it together long enough to elect a new DNC chair. The final choice came down to what would be impossible in the GOP, a Muslim (U.S. Rep. Keith Ellison of MN) and a Latino (Tom Perez, Obama’s Sec. of Labor).

The latter won and immediately, successfully called for the former to be his deputy. That’s not going to placate most progressives. They’ll see Perez as old-school, establishment DNC. They have unfortunately swallowed and now regurgitate the memes about the last election as proving Dems’ abject failures instead of what it really was, a confluence of external and internal factors.  Yet, if that addlepated guilt trip leads of political inspiration, so much the better for the party and nation.

The history is that the GOP laid a groundwork over maybe 8 years to take control of the states’ officials and the last census. Brilliant.

Dems foolishly assume a few things. One is that people will vote their self-interest. Two is that they will pay enough attention to know that for nearly a century, Republican administrations have meant worsening economies, high unemployment, unfair income distribution, soaring national debt, and war. Voters do neither.

As a disclaimer, I’m in the progressive camp and wanted Sanders. I would have preferred Ellison. Yet which of the two became the new chair is not that important. Either would do much the same, although I think Perez is a better orator and will inspire more action. He’ll get more to a better destination, because he activates them and not because his map is better.

Let’s allow the donkeys to pretend that the analysis of their election failure is accurate. That should also inspire action. I predict that as the public sees and experiences the gross, manifold failures of the current administration, the GOP sows and the Dems reap.

 

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Bluster and brinkmanship

I had plenty of doubts as Hillary Clinton headed toward the POTUS nomination this year.  Most trepidation was due to her policy swagger, particularly on matters military. She’s a boomer, but seems to think like her parents’ generation — the U.S. of A. is the great power and all other nations better damned well know that.

I could see the new, maybe improved President Clinton sending our forces thither and yon. She had the odour of yet another Democratic warmonger. Think John Kennedy.

I was sure and remain so that Bernie Sanders did not have that Captain Kirk impulsiveness and insecurity.

What we’re ending up with is a Republican version of my fear. This Trump character has neither governing nor military experience, neither a strong knowledge base nor a high intelligence. He has the swagger of the insecure, dreadfully insecure. That’s more commonly known as BS.

During his campaign, he said countries that wanted nuclear weapons should have them. The concept of keeping a lid on the Mass Destruction Club evades him. Moreover, he has no sense of maintaining detente with the nuclear power China, angering them by ignoring the One-China policy. Worst of all…so far…he openly called for a renewed arms race.

His stated position so far has been that the U.S. needs to keep a numerical advantage in nuclear weapons and we’ll be kings of the hill. We tried that unsuccessfully for decades. It may have made the related Presidents feel like real big, tough men, but it was an economic and military disaster. It drained our economy, diverting resources from real needs, made our national anxiety levels soar, and forced us into positions that took nearly 20 years to ease away from.

Kennedy and his follow-on Lyndon Johnson were decidedly, to use the crude image, dick-on-the-table types. Mine is bigger than yours was the concept. In fact, Johnson was fond of waving his johnson about, as he once did in an informal presser when asked why we were Vietnam, Whipping it out, he said, “This is why.” 

We decidedly do not need more of that puerile, insecure bluster. Unfortunately, Trump’s announced cabinet and advisers don’t seem any brighter or more mature than he.

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Dems, what is best in life?

Apropos dialog from the 1982 flick Conan the Barbarian:

Mongol General: Conan! What is best in life?
Conan: Crush your enemies. See them driven before you. Hear the lamentations of their women.
Mongol General: That is good! That is good.

Consider the Democratic Party’s plight and tasks and think back to the 2012 Republican autopsy, a.k.a. the 100-page Growth and Opportunity Project report. Conan’s methods and goals fit with neither the Dem modus operandi nor with the GOP’s G.O.P. report. Don’t expect heads and machers of either party to change soon. There in lies the huge opportunity for lefties.

First be very aware that under the Trump campaign, both he and the party ignored the report. That called for being inclusive and considerate of the likes of Latinos and women. Ha!

Instead and likely to their long-term detriment, the GOP rode a national bronco bucking for change. They lost a little in the Senate and the House, but kept control of both as well as winning the White House. A sharp irony in that is that Trump/change supporters hated the establishment insiders but largely kept them in office. The do-nothing wastrels in Congress are headed back. Huh?

So, a non-Republican, non-conservative Donald Trump becomes POTUS. The GOP has a huge disincentive to really change for future elections, demographic trends, and a nation increasingly out of sync with both old-style Republicans and the current pseudo-populism of Trump.

Now the Dems take their turn at rending their garments and watering their Merlot with losers’ tears. They too are choosing new party functionaries and will certainly produce a report and plan.

Same. Same. Right? No, when it’s the Dems’ turn, expect:

  • Explicit acknowledgement of failure to counter the 2010-11 GOP REDMAP strategy to control the governorships and legislatures in the 32 states that directly control redistricting following the decennial Census. The GOP gerrymandered the crap out of America.
  • Belated plans to turn the tables for the 2020 Census.
  • A much less Conan attitude toward gerrymandering. Specifically the Dems’ nature would have them return a fairly proportioned set of electoral maps in those 32 states instead of a crush-you-enemy one as the GOP did.
  • A coordinated Party response to the resulting report, rather than the GOP’s circular-file one.
  • Cleaning house at the Democratic National Committee to broom out the incompetent insiders who scuttled Bernie Sanders and otherwise played dirty pool throughout the campaign.

High-speed catch-up

To use the phrase of the year, Republicans rigged the House in their gerrymandering effort. Dems will have to trifurcate. They need to do all necessary to replicate the GOP state-level successes. They simultaneously need snag a dozen or more House seats in the 2018 mid-terms. Meanwhile, a separate group has to ID several top-notch 2020 POTUS possibles.

Unfortunately for Dems, their counterparts were ahead of them in realizing the potential of the internet and social media. The lefties caught up and learned how to link those technologies with voter data to leapfrog. Fortunately for Dems, they tend to be smarter. I would look for rapid advances to outdo REDMAP in the next foru years. They may not totally dominate state governors, and they may only get a narrow majority in the House, but then again, they are not crush-your-enemy sorts.

They’ll have to focus and develop big and small strategies and tactics. I suspect they’ll be up for it.

Their other advantage that should emerge in the first year of the Age of Trump will almost surely be the combined patterns of history and crackpot plans of the administration. We know going back to at least Harding that Republican administrations tank the ecoomy or at least deliver weakened tangibles — job growth, GDP growth, debt levels and more.

The millions who deluded themselves that if only Trump and the GOP had control the economy would soar, are certain to turn on him and his state-level pols.

 

 

 

 

trails

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Donnie Points and Whimpers

For consistency, note that I called out GOP would-be POTUS Donald trump as a mommy’s boy in June. He’s still at it.

Granted, Sen. Elizabeth Warren politically popularized “the sysetm is rigged” several years ago. Then realizing her weakness with progressive sorts in her campaign against Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton wore the RIGGED button figuratively at speeches.

Now the delicious irony is amoral Dem turned pseudo-Republican Trump overuses the term to tedium. The election is rigged. mass media and pols, even GOP officials, conspire against him in a fixed election.

Another bit of humor is that Sanders a tiny bit, and both the Clintons and Warren and her hubby Bruce have done very well financially. They don’t rob from ordinary folk, but they can’t claim to be even anywhere in the middle-class.

The key difference here is that Trump’s claims:

  • Are strictly about himself and not the commonweal
  • His are without evidence and patently false

Let’s discuss whether he has any case at all.I love that Okie Warren’s word repeatably comes from the fake donkey’s mouth.

Let’s also touch on how the pathetic 35% to 45% who’d torch democracy for anti-woman, anti-lefty emotional voting will deal with the now-destined defeat. Some threaten rebellion, even assassination. The rotting husk of the Republican party chooses lizard-brain reactions right now. Can they come to democracy and the commonweal?

icon for podpress  Rigged [18:38m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

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Bernie vs. Hillary — Family Tale Podcast

HillhugWho said, “A house divided against itself cannot have a peaceful dinner?” No one. Then, how about, Proverbs 17:1 — “Better is a dry morsel, and quietness therewith, than an house full of sacrifices with strife.”

My family did not quite rise to disowning and blows, but we were riven. Mot were strongly Bernie Sanders supporters versus one very strong Hillary Clinton proponent.

I talked about our difficulties as a microcosm of the leftist struggle this election. No family members were hospitalized in this house.

I mused on the likelihood of Sanders-to-Clinton voting, both for us and for the nation. Even with young voters heavily favoring Sanders, he did not mobilize them or add new ones as well as Barack Obama in ’08. The phrase of note for November 8th will surely be GOTV.

icon for podpress  Dems Butting Heads — Family Tale [19:31m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

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Bernie’s Sauce Stirring the Pot

My neck is way elongated for a big Hillary bump following the Dem convention. Honestly, the contrast between the parties could not be clearer. Hateful elephants and helpful donkeys. Pick ’em.

Today, I figured that Bernie Sanders did in fact do his do for Hillary at the convention. Lame, faddish commentators claim the hall rolled with unending boos when he endorsed her. Not so. There was a smattering and it seemed to reflect current Pew polling that 90% of the forever-Bernie folk plan to vote or Clinton.

A series of strong endorsements last night made the case. As a Sanders supporter, I am one of the disappointed. The FLOTUS gave a remarkable speech for Clinton, as did Sen. Al Franken.

Bernie did a 29-minute setup with conclusion for Hillary. If you have not heard it, do so now here. Also, catch Sarah Silverman’s six-minute and followup piece really was a or the highlight of the evening. Catch that here. The punchline is when she ad libbed to the only-Bernie types, “You’re being ridiculous!”

I’m calling a big bump for Clinton.

icon for podpress  Bernie's sauce [24:28m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

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:Hillary’s Email (Eek! Mail) Podcast

No free ride for Hillary Clinton. Yes, the FBI cleared her of criminal wrongdoing in its probe of her use of private email servers. Yet, it deemed that doing so was “extremely careless” and in particular did not follow federal protocols for archiving government records.

Those who hated and slandered her before are not about to start publicly apologizing to her or those in their social-media feeds. Plus, the fast majority of us who have been saying for a year or more that this would be the result also haven’t changed our opinion.

My questions were more along the lines of what does this mean to the third to half of the electorate who hadn’t totally made up their minds? I talk through why I think it will be a wash for her. The moderates and independents are likely to be more open to her. She’ll be a bump from the pending Democratic convention. The Hillary and sick-of-Democrats-in-the-White-House types won’t change their minds at all. I bet she’ll get a very modest bump in the polls when this settles.

 

icon for podpress  Hillary's Eek-mail [22:42m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

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No VP Warren Podcast

We’re not through with Elizabeth Warren yet in Massachusetts. You can’t have her as 2016 Vice President. She’s my U.S. Senator and is better than just fine.Elizabeth Warren

I get into why she’s effective beyond merely doing the job for us and discuss pros and cons of Hillary Clinton bringing her on the ticket. Unlike my usual cited sources, this is personal and my perceptions.

She has been doing a great job with her small stable of political and positions she rides in D.C. She largely is the conscience who shames the lackluster, plodding Senators with her dynamism and accomplishments. She was on the ground running even before she got to the Senate. She could do a great job for the next President as the leading Senator and not the disappearing lackey.

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Little Donald Who Cried, “No Fair!”

To Trump’s True Believers (à la Eric Hoffer) we have no need to analyze him. Pundits and media types disagree; they rake over his bullying, lying, racism, sexism, hyper-litigiousness, and extreme reactions to criticism.

I am struck instead and call him out as a mommy’s boy. Viewed as such, Donald Trump comes into focus.

While many have noted that his father urged him to leverage the family fortune and that he could be a relative king in NYC, we don’t hear much of Mary MacLeod Trump, Fred’s wife and mother of their five. She was a Scottish emigrant who start U.S. life as a maid. While Fred was off developing real estate and getting rich, she was half philanthropist and half mom.

I rant in what I call my Romney Rexall psychology. Donny-poo came into particularly sharp focus as a mommy’s boy since he started his thudding stumbles toward’s the Presidency. He has decades of history whining about how unfair anything is that doesn’t give him what he wants. His thousands of legal filings are rife with official complaints against one judge after another who did not rule in his favor.

Lately, he’s compounded that and perhaps gone too far openly carping about the judge in the class-action suit against him for fraud related to Trump University. He combines his whining about “fairness” with his nativism and pure racism in alleging the judge cannot be “fair’ because his is “Mexican” and “I’m going to build a wall.”

What he see is the mommy’s boy. Whatever Donny wants he deserves and must have. Anything else is not fair.

I think back to my sons and their friends in preschool. At three or four, they had a firm grasp on the idea of we-have-the-same. The corollary runs along the line of “Fred got two cookies and I only got one. No fair!” When mommy’s special boy doesn’t get exactly what he wants, he acts out as any four-year-old.

icon for podpress  Mommy's Boy Trump [20:06m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

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Stupor Tuesday Podcast

The huge, diverse Super Tuesday elections clarified things…at least for Democrats. Hillary Clinton almost surely will arrive at the July Democratic Party convention with a majority of delegates, and a first-ballot nomination.

It’s not so simple for the GOP, even though Marco Rubio lost his home state, Florida, and dropped out. Kasich did win his home state, Ohio, and Cruz did OK behind Trump. The latter is very unlikely to come to his party’s July convention with a majority of delegates. He’d have to win 59% of all remaining delegates to do so…unlikely. Even more unlikely, Cruz would need to get 80% of them and Kasich 100%. Haar.

It looks like Sanders, even with loads of adoring supporters and lots of cash will be relegated to influencing Clinton’s positions. She’s long been like her husband, a moderate to moderately conservative deal cutter. She has picked some of Sander’s (and Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s) lingo. I could easily see a Pres. H. Clinton jettisoning those positions.

Now the show shifts almost entirely to the Republicans. a contested convention would be a festival of threats, pouting, accusations and other theater. I speculated a bit on who might emerge as the nominee assuming Trump does have a majority coming in.

 

icon for podpress  Stupor Tuesday [18:46m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

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