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Stupor Tuesday Podcast

The huge, diverse Super Tuesday elections clarified things…at least for Democrats. Hillary Clinton almost surely will arrive at the July Democratic Party convention with a majority of delegates, and a first-ballot nomination.

It’s not so simple for the GOP, even though Marco Rubio lost his home state, Florida, and dropped out. Kasich did win his home state, Ohio, and Cruz did OK behind Trump. The latter is very unlikely to come to his party’s July convention with a majority of delegates. He’d have to win 59% of all remaining delegates to do so…unlikely. Even more unlikely, Cruz would need to get 80% of them and Kasich 100%. Haar.

It looks like Sanders, even with loads of adoring supporters and lots of cash will be relegated to influencing Clinton’s positions. She’s long been like her husband, a moderate to moderately conservative deal cutter. She has picked some of Sander’s (and Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s) lingo. I could easily see a Pres. H. Clinton jettisoning those positions.

Now the show shifts almost entirely to the Republicans. a contested convention would be a festival of threats, pouting, accusations and other theater. I speculated a bit on who might emerge as the nominee assuming Trump does have a majority coming in.

 

icon for podpress  Stupor Tuesday [18:46m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

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Demon vs. Raptor…on to November

Let’s interrupt the political theater for a brief moment of reality. My guy, Bernie Sanders, has almost surely lost the Dem nomination for President. On the other side, there’s an even chance Donald Trump will come into the GOP convention with a majority of Delegates.

Clinton vs. Trump in November. The war hawk vs. the hate monger.

I talked about the mundanities, such as number of delegated needed and already bagged for the nominations. I spoke of the likelihood that each will arrive at the July convention with a majority and the nomination.

I also stuck my neck out with a prediction that Trump will have his 35% or so of the electorate that responds to emotion and bluster. Yet we see that every for years. There is always at least that much or even up to 48% who will vote for any bozo who honks his clown nose to the proper tune.

This was just a rant. At least my Boston precinct voted for Bernie yesterday.

icon for podpress  Demon vs. Raptor [26:16m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

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Sure, Sanders and Trump, but a Big So What?

bernburnIt’s everything…and nothing. As polled and predicted, Trump and Sanders won the New Hampshire primary yesterday. That was the first clear win for each of them and settled little.

Predictions that the GOP chaff would fly in the wind were exaggerated. The two female would-be POTUSes are more determined, Hillary from power and reason and Fiorina from vanity and spite. The two main Dems are straight ahead and depend on results from first Nevada and South Carolina (2/20 and in SC also 2/27) and March 1’s Super Tuesday.

I do know a bit about of SC politics from my previous life there. I suppose I have as much right as the next blowhard to analyze and predict.

With over a 20% win over Clinton in NH, Sanders gives me reason to be more sanguine about his chances at nomination. He’s gone from nowhere to a solid possible. I talk about the perils I see for both of them.

I can’t really hide my disdain for the GOP candidates. I do have views of what will happen in the run to nomination as well as general.

I talk about what I see coming up for Super Tuesday, but particularly in South Carolina.

icon for podpress  Sanders, Trump, Big So What?: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

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Iowa teaser, NH some meat, Super Tuesday full meal

Everyone’s uncle, niece, cousin and coworker has opinions on the Presidential race. Hovering between the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, we blowhards just le it rip. My turn.

I’ll drop my cornhusker conclusions ? Bernie, Hillary, the dropouts, Trump, Cruz,?and Rubio ? plus New Hampshire know-it-all forecasting.

My 6-month granddaughter is among Sanders’ youngest supporters, aided by her mother. They went from Seattle to Des Moines and now on to ye olde Granite State. So expect some skewing.

icon for podpress  Iowa and NH [22:26m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

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